The 2025 NFL MVP race could see a seismic shift in Week 13, depending on what New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye is able to do in his ‘Monday Night Football’ matchup against the New York Giants.
Entering Week 13, Matthew Stafford was the odds-on favorite to take home his first MVP award. The 37-year-old might retain his lead in that category, but a shaky performance in a loss against the Carolina Panthers has at least opened the door for Maye to catch up to him.
Maye has been one of the NFL’s breakout stars in his second season. The 23-year-old has graded as one of the league’s best deep passers and has turned what was an anemic Patriots offense in his first season into an efficient and, at times, unstoppable unit in his second.
Maye’s narrative will only improve if the Patriots can lengthen their nine-game winning streak, which is tied with the Denver Broncos for the NFL’s best, on ‘Monday Night Football’ against the New York Giants. But will it be enough to unseat Stafford amid what has been, to date, the veteran’s best season?
Here’s a closer look at the NFL MVP race as Week 13 winds to a close:
NFL MVP odds: Week 13
All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
1. QB Matthew Stafford, Los Angeles Rams (+105)
Stafford remains the favorite to win the NFL’s MVP award, but his odds have lengthened considerably after a rocky Week 13 showing against the Panthers. The 37-year-old veteran doubled his season-long interception total by tossing two against the Panthers in a 31-28 loss.
Stafford remains the NFL’s leader in passing touchdowns (32) and has completed 66.3% of his passes for 3,073 yards while leading the Rams to one of the NFL’s best record. Still, his bumpy outing against Carolina dropped his MVP odds from -235 – an implied probability of 70.15% to win the award – to open the week, down to a +105 (48.78% implied probability to win) entering Week 13’s ‘Monday Night Football’ matchup between the Giants and Patriots.
2. QB Drake Maye, New England Patriots (+120)
Maye hasn’t yet played in Week 13, but he made up ground in the race thanks to Stafford’s struggles. The second-year quarterback has led a massive turnaround in New England during Mike Vrabel’s first season, as the Patriots entered Week 13 in control of the AFC’s No. 1 seed with a 10-2 record.
Maye has completed a league-best 71% of his passes for 3,130 yards, 21 touchdowns and six interceptions while adding 307 yards and two touchdowns on the ground.
3. QB Dak Prescott, Dallas Cowboys (+1100)
Prescott has made a massive leap up the MVP odds leaderboard amid Dallas’ three-game winning streak. The 32-year-old has posted an NFL-best 3,261 passing yards to date with 25 touchdowns and eight interceptions while leading a Cowboys offense that is averaging 29.3 points per game, second-most in the NFL.
4. QB Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers (+1500)
Love’s MVP outlook improved significantly after Thanksgiving, as the 27-year-old threw for 234 yards and four touchdowns in a win over the Detroit Lions. Like Stafford, Love’s MVP case is buoyed by a low interception total (3), efficient passing numbers (67% completion rate, 2,794 passing yards, 19 touchdowns) and his team’s strong overall performance (8-3-1).
5. QB Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills (+1800)
Could Allen win back-to-back MVP awards? It’s possible, but the 29-year-old quarterback hasn’t been explosive since his six-touchdown game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 11. Allen has totaled just two touchdowns over his past two outings, which has kept him at an arm’s length in the MVP conversation.
Still, Allen has solid stats, completing 69.4% of his passes for 2,832 yards, 19 touchdowns and 10 interceptions while adding 409 yards and 11 scores as a runner. That will earn Allen looks, especially if the 8-4 Bills can close the gap on the Patriots in the AFC East race.